Intraday markets and potential benefits for Turkey

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Tezin Türü: Yüksek Lisans

Tezin Yürütüldüğü Kurum: Orta Doğu Teknik Üniversitesi, Mühendislik Fakültesi, Elektrik ve Elektronik Mühendisliği Bölümü, Türkiye

Tezin Onay Tarihi: 2014

Öğrenci: ENGİN İLSEVEN

Danışman: OSMAN SEVAİOĞLU

Özet:

In this thesis work; the characteristics, applications, logic, and potential benefits of intraday markets are investigated comprehensively. The properties of intraday markets are examined, and within this framework the applications of intraday markets in Europe and the mechanism that is going to be applied in Turkey are discussed. Also, considering the increasing importance of intraday markets, the logic behind these markets is examined. In this respect, the uncertainties which cause imbalances in the balancing market and result in financial losses for market participants are explained with the real data belonging to the Turkish system. The potential benefits of intraday trading opportunities are evaluated for Turkey, firstly from theoretical perspective with the utilization of synthetic intraday prices and different scenarios for intraday trading volumes. Then, two different models such as "Electricity Price Model" and "Short Term Load Forecasting Model" are developed in order to perform more realistic analyses. "Electricity Price Model" is used to measure the potential benefits for wind generators at peak hours. In addition, "Short Term Load Forecasting Model" is utilized to manifest the opportunities for supplier companies, taking into account the trading strategies in the intraday market.