Levy piyasası modelinde tamlama, fiyatlama ve kalibrasyon.


Tezin Türü: Yüksek Lisans

Tezin Yürütüldüğü Kurum: Orta Doğu Teknik Üniversitesi, Türkiye

Tezin Onay Tarihi: 2010

Tezin Dili: İngilizce

Öğrenci: Büşra Zeynep Yılmaz

Eş Danışman: IŞIL EROL, AZİZE HAYFAVİ

Özet:

In this thesis, modelling with Lévy processes is considered in three parts. In the first part, the general geometric Lévy market model is examined in detail. As such markets are generally incomplete, it is shown that the market can be completed by enlarging with a series of new artificial assets called “power-jump assets” based on the power-jump processes of the underlying Lévy process. The second part of the thesis presents two different methods for pricing European options: the martingale pricing approach and the Fourier-based characteristic formula method which is performed via fast Fourier transform (FFT). Performance comparison of the pricing methods led to the fact that the fast Fourier transform produces very small pricing errors so the results of both methods are nearly identical. Throughout the pricing section jump sizes are assumed to have a particular distribution. The third part contributes to the empirical applications of Lévy processes. In this part, the stochastic volatility extension of the jump diffusion model is considered and calibration on Standard&Poors (S&P) 500 options data is executed for the jump-diffusion model, stochastic volatility jump-diffusion model of Bates and the Black-Scholes model. The model parameters are estimated by using an optimization algorithm. Next, the effect of additional stochastic volatility extension on explaining the implied volatility smile phenomenon is investigated and it is found that both jumps and stochastic volatility are required. Moreover, the data fitting performances of three models are compared and it is shown that stochastic volatility jump-diffusion model gives relatively better results.