Long term electrical supply-demand balance of Turkey (2013-2023)

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Tezin Türü: Yüksek Lisans

Tezin Yürütüldüğü Kurum: Orta Doğu Teknik Üniversitesi, Mühendislik Fakültesi, Elektrik ve Elektronik Mühendisliği Bölümü, Türkiye

Tezin Onay Tarihi: 2013

Öğrenci: HÜSEYİN MURAT POLATER

Danışman: OSMAN SEVAİOĞLU

Özet:

In this thesis long term supply demand balance of Turkey is studied. Initially long term electrical energy demand and peak power demand forecasts are made. For forecasting, two different methods are used. First method is Artificial Neural Network (ANN), and second method is Time Series Method. Then electrical energy demand forecast by sector is done. Finally by considering the construction times of new generation plants, electrical energy production capacity and peak power production capacity projections are done. By comparing the capacity projection with demand forecast, long term supply demand balance of Turkey is examined