Tezin Türü: Yüksek Lisans
Tezin Yürütüldüğü Kurum: Orta Doğu Teknik Üniversitesi, Mühendislik Fakültesi, Petrol ve Doğal Gaz Mühendisliği Bölümü, Türkiye
Tezin Onay Tarihi: 2003
Tezin Dili: İngilizce
Öğrenci: Serkan Arkan
Danışman: MAHMUT PARLAKTUNA
Özet:One of the most applicable methods of low-temperature geothermal resource assessment is volumetric method. While applying volumetric method, the values of uncertain parameters should be determined. An add-in software program to Microsoft EXCEL, @RISK, is used as a tool to define the uncertainties of the parameters in volumetric equation. In this study, Monte Carlo simulation technique is used as the probabilistic approach for the assessment of lowtemperature Balçova-Narlidere geothermal field. Although Balçova-Narlidere geothermal field is being utilized for several direct heat applications, there exists limited data for resource assessment calculations. Assessment studies using triangular and uniform distribution type functions for each parameter gave the mean values of recoverable heat energy of the field as 25.1 MWt and 27.6 MWt, respectively. As optimistic values (90%), those values were found as 43.6 MWt and 54.3 MWt. While calculating these numbers, a project life of 25 years with a load factor of 50% is used.