Investor attention and stock performance: A search engine optimization approach


Tezin Türü: Yüksek Lisans

Tezin Yürütüldüğü Kurum: Orta Doğu Teknik Üniversitesi, Uygulamalı Matematik Enstitüsü, Finansal Matematik Anabilim Dalı, Türkiye

Tezin Onay Tarihi: 2022

Tezin Dili: İngilizce

Öğrenci: ABDULLAH EFE GÜL

Danışman: Seza Danişoğlu

Özet:

This thesis proposes two new measures of investor attention: Search Traffic (ST) and Click Per Search (CPS). These two measures as well as the commonly used Google Search Volume Index (SVI) measure are constructed by optimizing the number of keywords while using a search engine optimization. ST is measured based on financial website URLs without using any search keyword and is a direct measure of investor attention. The relationships between investor attention and stock market activities consisting of return and volatility are investigated for the Dow Jones Index (DJI) and its constituent stocks. The study provides robust evidence that attention has significant and asymmetric impact on index returns as well as excess returns. It has significant and negative influence on returns under bearish conditions while significant and positive effect during bullish conditions. Attention is also a significant driver of both index and stock volatility such that volatility increases following an increase in attention. In addition, investors respond to price reversals more quickly compared to positive index returns. Observations on CPS suggest that the more investors search for a financial keyword, the less they click on financial websites per searched keyword.