Towards 5G and beyond radio link diagnosis: Radio link failure prediction by using historical weather, link parameters

Aktas S., ALEMDAR H., Ergut S.

COMPUTERS & ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING, vol.99, 2022 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 99
  • Publication Date: 2022
  • Doi Number: 10.1016/j.compeleceng.2022.107742
  • Journal Indexes: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, Academic Search Premier, Aerospace Database, Applied Science & Technology Source, Communication Abstracts, Compendex, Computer & Applied Sciences, INSPEC, Metadex, zbMATH, Civil Engineering Abstracts
  • Keywords: Radio link failure, Next-generation network, Machine learning, LSTM, NETWORK
  • Middle East Technical University Affiliated: Yes


Weather-related phenomena such as clouds, rain, snow affect the performance of radio links. To reduce the adverse effects of radio link failures' on the user experience, mobile operators require intelligent monitoring systems to predict link failures and take actions before they happen. In this study, we show how machine learning can be used for prediction using a real-world telecom operator dataset. We propose a novel architecture to process time-series data and non-times-series data together in the same neural model to have better performance in predictions. We compare our model with the traditional approaches such as logistic regression (LR), support vector machines (SVM), and Long Short-term Memory (LSTM). Through experimental evaluations, we show that the F1-score of our proposed model is 0.638, whereas for the pure LSTM model it is 0.601. SVM and LR methods perform significantly worse with F1 scores of 0.455 and 0.105, respectively.