Reserve currency and the volatility of clean energy stocks: The role of uncertainty


KOCAARSLAN B., SOYTAŞ U.

ENERGY ECONOMICS, cilt.104, 2021 (SSCI) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 104
  • Basım Tarihi: 2021
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105645
  • Dergi Adı: ENERGY ECONOMICS
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus, International Bibliography of Social Sciences, PASCAL, Periodicals Index Online, ABI/INFORM, Business Source Elite, Business Source Premier, EconLit, Environment Index, INSPEC, PAIS International, Public Affairs Index
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: Reserve currency (US dollar), Clean energy stocks, Volatility, Uncertainty, ARDL model, EXCHANGE-RATE UNCERTAINTY, CRUDE-OIL PRICES, MARKET VOLATILITY, MONETARY-POLICY, RETURNS, TESTS, COINTEGRATION, INVESTMENT, DEPENDENCE, IMPACT
  • Orta Doğu Teknik Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

Clean energy firms are among the most risky firms to invest in. Hence, it is essential to have a clear understanding of the risk profile of clean energy stocks. The main purpose of this study is to examine how changes in the reserve currency (US dollar) value affect the volatility of clean energy stocks in the absence/presence of uncertainty information. To this end, the volatility of clean energy stocks is first obtained by considering uncertainty information in the exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (EGARCH) volatility estimates. Then, using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model, this study investigates the effect of reserve currency (US dollar) value fluctuations on the volatility of clean energy stocks. Controlling for monetary conditions, financial stress, and business cycle fluctuations, the study finds that, in the absence of uncertainty information, the volatility of clean energy stocks is not influenced by US dollar fluctuations. However, an appreciation of the US dollar against major foreign currencies significantly increases the volatility of clean energy stocks when uncertainties about economic policy, exchange rate market, and gold market are included in the picture. We find that economic uncertainty mediates the link between reserve currency and the volatility of clean energy stocks. The results shed more light on the risk profile of clean energy stocks and suggest the need for predictable and stable policies to increase the attractiveness of clean energy stocks.