An alternative approach to the ground motion prediction problem by a non-parametric adaptive regression method

Yerlikaya-Ozkurt F., Askan A., Weber G.

ENGINEERING OPTIMIZATION, cilt.46, ss.1651-1668, 2014 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 46
  • Basım Tarihi: 2014
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1080/0305215x.2013.858141
  • Dergi Adı: ENGINEERING OPTIMIZATION
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.1651-1668
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: conic multivariate adaptive regression splines, ground motion prediction equation, non-parametric regression, continuous optimization, engineering seismology, EQUATIONS, MAGNITUDE, DISTANCE, MODEL, SITE, PGV
  • Orta Doğu Teknik Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

Ground Motion Prediction Equations (GMPEs) are empirical relationships which are used for determining the peak ground response at a particular distance from an earthquake source. They relate the peak ground responses as a function of earthquake source type, distance from the source, local site conditions where the data are recorded and finally the depth and magnitude of the earthquake. In this article, a new prediction algorithm, called Conic Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (CMARS), is employed on an available dataset for deriving a new GMPE. CMARS is based on a special continuous optimization technique, conic quadratic programming. These convex optimization problems are very well-structured, resembling linear programs and, hence, permitting the use of interior point methods. The CMARS method is performed on the strong ground motion database of Turkey. Results are compared with three other GMPEs. CMARS is found to be effective for ground motion prediction purposes.