Evidence on the extent and potential sources of long memory in US Treasury security returns and yields
JOURNAL OF MONEY CREDIT AND BANKING, cilt.39, ss.689-702, 2007 (SSCI, Scopus)
- Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
- Cilt numarası: 39
- Basım Tarihi: 2007
- Doi Numarası: 10.1111/j.0022-2879.2007.00041.x
- Dergi Adı: JOURNAL OF MONEY CREDIT AND BANKING
- Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus
- Sayfa Sayıları: ss.689-702
- Açık Arşiv Koleksiyonu: AVESİS Açık Erişim Koleksiyonu
- Orta Doğu Teknik Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet
Özet
Unlike equity returns, many fixed-income return measures appear to display long memory. We show that the extent of long memory differs strongly for gross and excess holding period returns on U.S. Treasury securities. Granger and others have argued that long memory may only reflect infrequent structural breaks. We explore the impact of structural instability on tests for long memory and find only weak indications that it lies behind the long memory in our return series. The evidence of long memory remains strong for yield and term premia series even after accounting for a series of potential underlying structural changes.