Evaluating tsunami preparedness worldwide: a proxy index using Japan as a reference


TÜFEKÇİ ENGİNAR D., SÜZEN M. L., YALÇINER A. C.

Natural Hazards, vol.122, no.2, 2026 (SCI-Expanded, Scopus) identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 122 Issue: 2
  • Publication Date: 2026
  • Doi Number: 10.1007/s11069-025-07804-0
  • Journal Name: Natural Hazards
  • Journal Indexes: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus, IBZ Online, Environment Index, Geobase, INSPEC
  • Keywords: Global indicators, Preparedness, Proxy index, Tsunami, Vulnerability
  • Middle East Technical University Affiliated: Yes

Abstract

Tsunami risk assessment is crucial for coastal communities, but quantitatively evaluating a nation’s tsunami vulnerability, and preparedness levels is challenging due to the intangible elements of this aspect. This study offers a novel proxy measurement method for assessing the tsunami preparedness of the nations through a reference country approach. The reference country is chosen as Japan according to the rationales based on its exemplary preparedness strategies against tsunamis and results of global-level analysis performed on the historical tsunami events and their outcomes. A proxy index, representing tsunami awareness and preparedness is developed using 39 indicators gathered from global statistical datasets grouped into administrative, educational, and socio-economic domains. The indicators are normalized, and principal component analysis is applied to remove multicollinearity. The Euclidean distance between 52 tsunami-prone country and Japan is calculated to determine their similarity yielding a value scaled from 1 to 10 for each country. This proxy index calculation provides valuable insights on the importance of robust governance, strong public education, and resilient economic systems for effective disaster management and offers a practical measurement method to approach relatively intangible aspects such as human vulnerability, awareness and preparedness for any kind of natural hazards including tsunamis.