Vision 2023: Turkey's national technology foresight program: A contextualist analysis and discussion

Saritas O., Taymaz E., Tumer T.

TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE, vol.74, no.8, pp.1374-1393, 2007 (Peer-Reviewed Journal) identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 74 Issue: 8
  • Publication Date: 2007
  • Doi Number: 10.1016/j.techfore.2006.07.005
  • Journal Indexes: Social Sciences Citation Index, Scopus
  • Page Numbers: pp.1374-1393
  • Keywords: foresight, contextualism, vision 2023, Turkey, science and technology policy


Likewise many other developed and developing countries, a national Technology Foresight Program was carried out in Turkey under the name of Vision 2023. This paper analyzes and discusses the Vision 2023 Technology Foresight Program from a contextualist perspective. The contextualist perspective suggests relationships between the context, content and process of change; and thus proposes that any change activity should be designed, organized and implemented by considering these relationships. This viewpoint is seen as a necessary condition for the achievement of change in organizations and society. In this respect, the Vision 2023 Program is considered in its own national and organizational contexts by discussing (i) how the factors in these contexts affected particular decisions taken on the content and approaches adopted in the process and (ii) how problems emerged when these relationships were dismissed. Through the analysis, the paper suggests that a Foresight program should be organized, designed and practised by considering the effects of the external contexts (e.g. national, regional and/or corporate contexts) and structural and behavioral factors stemming from these different context levels along with the nature of the issue being worked on, which constitute the content of the exercise. (C) 2006 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.