Poverty Dynamics in Turkey


REVIEW OF INCOME AND WEALTH, vol.61, no.3, pp.477-493, 2015 (Journal Indexed in SSCI) identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 61 Issue: 3
  • Publication Date: 2015
  • Doi Number: 10.1111/roiw.12112
  • Title of Journal : REVIEW OF INCOME AND WEALTH
  • Page Numbers: pp.477-493
  • Keywords: D31, I32, I38, entry and exit rate, poverty dynamics, trigger events, Turkey, MARKET


This paper examines poverty dynamics in Turkey using a nationally representative panel data covering the 2005-08 period. The aim is to understand mobility in and out of poverty and its correlates. We find that almost a quarter of the poor are persistently poor. The conditional and unconditional exit rates that we estimate are within the range of values reported for developed countries in the literature. That the income eventsbut not transfersdominate both poverty entries and exits is indicative of the major role labor markets play in the lives of the poor. In particular, we argue that given the characteristics of the poor and modest levels of social assistance, the reason for mobility rates close to European averages must be sought in the informal economy.