Do Global Risk Perceptions Play a Role in Emerging Market Equity Return Volatilities?

Hacihasanoglu E., Simga-Mugan F. N. C., SOYTAŞ U.

EMERGING MARKETS FINANCE AND TRADE, vol.48, no.4, pp.67-78, 2012 (SSCI) identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 48 Issue: 4
  • Publication Date: 2012
  • Doi Number: 10.2753/ree1540-496x480404
  • Journal Name: EMERGING MARKETS FINANCE AND TRADE
  • Journal Indexes: Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus
  • Page Numbers: pp.67-78
  • Keywords: CVIX, emerging market equity returns, MOVE, risk perceptions, VIX, US, TRANSMISSION, SPILLOVER, JAPAN, CAUSALITY, TESTS
  • Middle East Technical University Affiliated: Yes

Abstract

This paper investigates whether global risk perceptions lead emerging market return volatilities. In so doing, we analyzed the period of interest in three parts to determine the effects of the changes in global risk perceptions on the volatility of emerging markets. We uncovered volatility spillover from risk perceptions to the MXEF returns before the crisis. Our results show that all the effects on emerging market volatilities are severed in 2008, during which MXEF follows a downward trend. However, we observe that volatility transmission emerges during the recovery period of MXEF again. Hence, risk perceptions should be considered while analyzing emerging markets.