Macroeconomic variables and the housing market in Turkey

Sari R., Ewing B. T., AYDIN B.

EMERGING MARKETS FINANCE AND TRADE, cilt.43, sa.5, ss.5-19, 2007 (SSCI) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 43 Sayı: 5
  • Basım Tarihi: 2007
  • Doi Numarası: 10.2753/ree1540-496x430501
  • Dergi Adı: EMERGING MARKETS FINANCE AND TRADE
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.5-19
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: employment, housing investment, monetary policy, variance decompositions., IMPULSE-RESPONSE ANALYSIS, MULTIVARIATE MODELS, COINTEGRATION, COUNTRIES, DEMAND, SHOCKS, MONEY
  • Orta Doğu Teknik Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

This paper investigates the relation between housing starts and macroeconomic variables in Turkey from 1961 to 2000. The generalized variance decomposition approach is used to examine relations between housing market activity and prices, interest rates, output, money stock, and employment. In contrast to previous findings for developed countries, our results indicate that the monetary aggregate has a relatively more important and substantial effect on housing investment than does employment. Generally speaking, shocks to interest rates, output, and prices have noticeable effects on changes in the Turkish housing market.