ANALYSING THE DETERMINANTS OF TERRORISM IN TURKEY USING GEOGRAPHICALLY WEIGHTED REGRESSION


YILDIRIM ÖCAL J., ÖCAL N.

DEFENCE AND PEACE ECONOMICS, cilt.24, ss.195-209, 2013 (SSCI İndekslerine Giren Dergi) identifier identifier

  • Cilt numarası: 24 Konu: 3
  • Basım Tarihi: 2013
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1080/10242694.2012.695034
  • Dergi Adı: DEFENCE AND PEACE ECONOMICS
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.195-209

Özet

This paper investigates the determinants of provincial terrorism in Turkey taking spatial dimension into account for the time period 1990-2006. Following a traditional global regression analysis, spatial variations in the relationships are examined with geographically weighted regression (GWR) to obtain locally different parameter estimates. Empirical results indicate that increases in income and schooling ratio tend to reduce the provincial average level of terrorism, whereas an increase in unemployment enhances it. Moreover, GWR results indicate that the provincial effects of per capita income and education are more pronounced for the Eastern and South Eastern provinces compared to the Western provinces.