Probabilistic assessment of earthquake insurance rates for important structures: Application to Gumusova-Gerede motorway

YÜCEMEN M. S., YILMAZ Ç., ERDİK M. Ö.

STRUCTURAL SAFETY, cilt.30, sa.5, ss.420-435, 2008 (SCI-Expanded) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 30 Sayı: 5
  • Basım Tarihi: 2008
  • Doi Numarası: 10.1016/j.strusafe.2007.01.001
  • Dergi Adı: STRUCTURAL SAFETY
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED), Scopus
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.420-435
  • Orta Doğu Teknik Üniversitesi Adresli: Evet

Özet

A probabilistic model is presented for the assessment of the earthquake insurance rates for important engineering structures, for which the seismic losses could be quite significant. The proposed model is used to estimate the earthquake insurance premiums for the structures taking place in the Bolu Mountain Crossing in the Gumusova-Gerede motorway Section, Turkey. The model requires two types of studies, namely: seismic hazard analysis and estimation of potential damage to structures based on damage probability matrices (DPM). The computations are carried out according to the proposed model by using the seismic hazard results and the best estimate DPM's developed in the study and the annual pure risk premiums are obtained for the different components of the motorway system by making a distinction between sections completed and sections under construction. (C) 2007 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.