Social and economic determinants of Turkish voter choice in the 1995 parliamentary election

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Akarca A. T., Tansel A.

ELECTORAL STUDIES, vol.26, no.3, pp.633-647, 2007 (SSCI) identifier identifier

  • Publication Type: Article / Article
  • Volume: 26 Issue: 3
  • Publication Date: 2007
  • Doi Number: 10.1016/j.electstud.2007.06.001
  • Journal Name: ELECTORAL STUDIES
  • Journal Indexes: Social Sciences Citation Index (SSCI), Scopus
  • Page Numbers: pp.633-647
  • Keywords: elections, voter behavior, economic voting, party preference, Turkey, CROSS-NATIONAL ANALYSIS, UNITED-STATES, PRESIDENTIAL-ELECTION, MIDTERM ELECTIONS, GENERAL-ELECTION, HOUSE ELECTIONS, FLUCTUATIONS, EFFICIENT, BEHAVIOR, EVENTS
  • Middle East Technical University Affiliated: Yes

Abstract

The 1995 Turkish parliamentary election was held almost under the conditions of a controlled experiment. The unique cross-section data pertaining to this election is utilized to study the voter behavior in Turkey. Turkish voters are found to take govemment's economic performance into account but not look back beyond I year. A poor performance is found to benefit the extremist opposition parties at the expense of the major incumbent party. The minor incumbent and the centrist opposition parties appear to be unaffected by economic conditions. Voters also exhibit a tendency to vote against the parties holding power. The party preferences of Turkish voters depend on their socioeconomic characteristics as well. (c) 2007 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.