Current issues in and an emerging method for flood frequency analysis under changing climate

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Kavvas M. L., Ishida K., Trinh T., Ercan A., Darama Y., Carr K. J.

HYDROLOGICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, cilt.11, sa.1, ss.1-5, 2017 (ESCI) identifier identifier

  • Yayın Türü: Makale / Tam Makale
  • Cilt numarası: 11 Sayı: 1
  • Basım Tarihi: 2017
  • Doi Numarası: 10.3178/hrl.11.1
  • Dergi Adı: HYDROLOGICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
  • Derginin Tarandığı İndeksler: Emerging Sources Citation Index (ESCI), Scopus
  • Sayfa Sayıları: ss.1-5
  • Anahtar Kelimeler: flood frequency analysis, climate change, nonstationarity, ATMOSPHERIC-HYDROLOGIC PROCESSES, WEHY MODEL, HCM
  • Orta Doğu Teknik Üniversitesi Adresli: Hayır

Özet

In this study several issues with the standard flood frequency analysis are discussed in the context of a changing hydro-climate in the 21st century. Among these issues the loss of statistical equilibrium in the hydro-climate of a studied region during the 21st century has serious implications on the standard frequency analysis that is discussed in some detail. An alternative method to flood frequency analysis within the framework of a changing climate based on ensemble of future climate projections is reported and demonstrated by a numerical application to a target watershed.