A study on the reliability-based safety analysis of concrete gravity dams


Thesis Type: Postgraduate

Institution Of The Thesis: Middle East Technical University, Faculty of Engineering, Department of Civil Engineering, Turkey

Approval Date: 2005

Thesis Language: English

Student: Mehmet Reşat Beşer

Supervisor: ALİ MELİH YANMAZ

Abstract:

Dams are large hydraulic structures constructed to meet various project demands. Their roles in both environment and the economy of a country are so important that their design and construction should be carried out for negligibly small risk. Conventional design approaches are deterministic, which ignore variations of the governing variables. To offset this limitation, high safety factors are considered that increase the cost of the structure. Reliabilityاbased design approaches are probabilistic in nature since possible sources of uncertainties associated with the variables are identified using statistical information, which are incorporated into the reliability models. Risk analysis with the integration of risk management and risk assessment is a growing trend in dam safety. A computer program, named CADAM, which is based on probabilistic treatment of random loading and resistance terms using MonteاCarlo simulation technique, can be used for the safety analysis of gravity dams. A case study is conducted to illustrate the use of this program.